Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia – The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) released 'Climate Outlook 2024'. This prediction can be used as a guide for planning and development activities in sectors related to or affected by climate phenomena.
Head of BMKG Dwikorita Karnawati said that throughout 2024 climate disturbances from the Pacific Ocean, namely ENSO, are predicted to be in the Weak to Moderate El Nino phase at the beginning of 2024. Then until the end of 2024 it is predicted to be in the Neutral phase.
There is a small chance for the La Nina phenomenon to develop, which is the trigger for the wet climate anomaly. Likewise, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) phenomenon, which is the cause of climate disruption in the Indian Ocean, is predicted to be in the Neutral phase from the beginning to the end of 2024.
Based on these further atmospheric dynamics, the amount of annual rainfall in 2024 is predicted to generally be around normal conditions.
“However, there are several areas that are predicted to experience above normal annual rainfall, namely covering a small part of Aceh, southern West Sumatra, a small part of Riau, a small part of South Kalimantan, a small part of Gorontalo, a small part of Central Sulawesi, a small part of northern West Sulawesi, a small part of “a small part of South Sulawesi, a small part of West Papua and northern Papua,” said Dwikorita in a press statement, quoted Thursday (4/1/2023).
Apart from that, Dwikorita added, there are also areas that are predicted to experience below normal annual rain, namely parts of Banten, a small part of West Java, a small part of Central Java, a small part of Yogyakarta, a small part of East Java, a small part of East Nusa Tenggara, and southern Papua. .
Even though the 2024 dry season is predicted to continue normally, there are areas that have the potential to experience drought because climatically they have low rainfall, including parts of Lampung, parts of Java, parts of Bali, parts of West Nusa Tenggara, parts of East Nusa Tenggara and southern Papua.
BMKG recommendation
Meanwhile, BMKG Deputy for Climatology Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan said that in this climate view, BMKG also includes a number of general recommendations for sectors related to or affected by climate phenomena.
These include taking anticipatory steps towards the potential amount of annual rainfall in 2023 that exceeds the average or exceeds the normal limit which could trigger wet hydrometeorological disasters such as floods, flash floods and landslides, as well as the potential for below normal rainfall which could trigger drought and other impacts. The continuation will be forest and land fires in the 2024 dry season.
Furthermore, it can improve the optimization of the function of water resource infrastructure in urban areas or those that are prone to flooding, such as preparing capacity in drainage systems, infiltration systems and water storage, so that they can optimally prevent flooding.
Apart from that, it is also necessary to ensure the operational reliability of reservoirs, reservoirs, retention ponds and other artificial water storage for managing high rainfall during the rainy season and their use during the dry season.
“Regarding the handling of the dry season, even though the 2024 dry season is predicted not to be as dry as the 2023 dry season, it is still necessary to be aware of the potential for forest and land fires in 2024, especially in the first dry period in February 2024 for the coastal areas of Eastern Sumatra, as well as the second dry period starting in May 2024 for other areas prone to forest and land fires.” he said.
[Gambas:Video CNBC]
Next Article
BMKG Warning, 7 Indonesian Locations Haunted by Boiling Heat Disaster
(dem/dem)